Tennis · WTA Beijing · 07/10, 05:00
Prediction: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Ann Li · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
6-4 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ann Li
0–1
Elina Svitolina
(1 last)
- 03 Jun0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1561 · Elina Svitolina 1548
| Ann Li | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ann Li 0–1 Elina Svitolina (1).
- Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 13.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Ann Li 0 – 1 Elina Svitolina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ann Li 0–1 Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/21 French Open Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Greet Minnen Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Solana Sierra US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 65% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.