Tennis · WTA Beijing · 09/10, 09:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
7-3 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1578 · Elina Svitolina 1569
| Qinwen Zheng | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-12.6 | 13.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/10 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Elina Svitolina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Greet Minnen Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Solana Sierra US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 54% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.