Tennis · WTA Beijing · 30/09, 06:30
Prediction: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa
Team pages: Daria Snigur · Katarzyna Kawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Snigur
Katarzyna Kawa
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Snigur
7-3 (W-L)
Katarzyna Kawa
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daria Snigur
1–0
Katarzyna Kawa
(1 last)
- 13 Jan2-1 14-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Snigur 1535 · Katarzyna Kawa 1474
| Daria Snigur | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Snigur (rating 1535 vs 1474).
- Daria Snigur is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Daria Snigur 1–0 Katarzyna Kawa (1).
- Note: Katarzyna Kawa makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Daria Snigur | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.8 | 11.8-13.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 44% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Daria Snigur 1 – 0 Katarzyna Kawa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Snigur 1–0 Katarzyna Kawa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 Australian Open Women | 2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Snigur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Diana Shnaider US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Ella Seidel WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Katarzyna Kawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Valeria Savinykh WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maria Garcia Cid WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Eva Bennemann WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa?
Our model gives 72% to Daria Snigur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.