Tennis · WTA Beijing · 30/09, 06:30
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Talia Gibson
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Talia Gibson
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
6-4 (W-L)
Talia Gibson
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1–0
Talia Gibson
(1 last)
- 11 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1532 · Talia Gibson 1517
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1–0 Talia Gibson (1).
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.9 | 12.3-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 56% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1 – 0 Talia Gibson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1–0 Talia Gibson
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 WTA Paris | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Talia Gibson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson?
Our model gives 53% to Talia Gibson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.