Tennis · WTA Beijing · 29/09, 08:00
Prediction: Jodie Anna Burrage vs Mai Hontama
Team pages: Jodie Anna Burrage · Mai Hontama
Prediction summary
Winner
Jodie Anna Burrage
Mai Hontama
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jodie Anna Burrage
5-5 (W-L)
Mai Hontama
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jodie Anna Burrage
2–2
Mai Hontama
(4 last)
- 12 May0-2 3-12L
- 05 Jan2-0 12-8W
- 16 Jun2-0 12-5W
- 17 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jodie Anna Burrage 1522 · Mai Hontama 1520
| Jodie Anna Burrage | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jodie Anna Burrage | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 11.8-11 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 52.2% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Jodie Anna Burrage 2 – 2 Mai Hontama (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jodie Anna Burrage 2–2 Mai Hontama
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/25 W75 Trnava | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/01/23 ITF W60 Canberra | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06/22 ITF W100 Ilkley | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07/18 ITF Women Gatineau | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jodie Anna Burrage
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Jo Yee Chan W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Victoria Allen W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mai Hontama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Alexandra Panova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lina Gjorcheska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Erika Andreeva W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jodie Anna Burrage vs Mai Hontama?
Our model gives 52% to Mai Hontama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.