Tennis · WTA Beijing · 07/10, 05:00
Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
8-2 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1632 · Iga Swiatek 1592
| Iva Jovic | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iva Jovic (rating 1632 vs 1592).
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.6 | 13-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Magdalena Frech WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Magdalena Frech US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Iga Swiatek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Gao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Xiyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Diane Parry WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 56% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.