Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska
Team pages: Caty McNally · Dayana Yastremska
Prediction summary
Winner
Caty McNally
Dayana Yastremska
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Caty McNally
5-5 (W-L)
Dayana Yastremska
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Caty McNally
0–2
Dayana Yastremska
(2 last)
- 19 Mar1-2 13-18L
- 18 Aug0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caty McNally 1528 · Dayana Yastremska 1441
| Caty McNally | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caty McNally (rating 1528 vs 1441).
- Caty McNally is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Caty McNally 0–2 Dayana Yastremska (2).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Caty McNally | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.9 | 10.9-13.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Caty McNally 0 – 2 Dayana Yastremska (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caty McNally 0–2 Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/23 WTA Miami | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08/21 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Sara Bejlek WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/05 | Jasmine Paolini French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska?
Our model gives 62% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.