Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva
Team pages: Darja Vidmanova · Maria Timofeeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Vidmanova
Maria Timofeeva
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Vidmanova
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Timofeeva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Vidmanova 1504 · Maria Timofeeva 1628
| Darja Vidmanova | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1504 vs 1628).
- Maria Timofeeva is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darja Vidmanova | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.7 | 13.2-9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Vidmanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Caroline Werner WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva?
Our model gives 63% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.