Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger
Team pages: Elena-Gabriela Ruse · Lilli Tagger
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Lilli Tagger
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
3-7 (W-L)
Lilli Tagger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1500 · Lilli Tagger 1545
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilli Tagger (rating 1500 vs 1545).
- Lilli Tagger is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.8 | 12.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Eva Lys WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Magda Linette WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Lilli Tagger?
Our model gives 53% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.