Tennis · WTA Beijing · 29/09, 06:30
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Varvara Lepchenko
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Varvara Lepchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
5-5 (W-L)
Varvara Lepchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
2–2
Varvara Lepchenko
(4 last)
- 23 Sept2-0 12-5W
- 10 Sept2-0 12-5W
- 30 Sept1-2 13-12L
- 30 Sept1-2 10-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1492 · Varvara Lepchenko 1463
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 11.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2 – 2 Varvara Lepchenko (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2–2 Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 WTA Beijing | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09/23 WTA San Diego | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09/17 WTA Beijing Qual | 1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 30/09/16 WTA Beijing Qual | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Our model gives 65% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.