Tennis · WTA Beijing · 29/09, 05:00
Prediction: Katarzyna Kawa vs Valeria Savinykh
Team pages: Katarzyna Kawa · Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarzyna Kawa
Valeria Savinykh
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Katarzyna Kawa
5-5 (W-L)
Valeria Savinykh
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarzyna Kawa
1–2
Valeria Savinykh
(3 last)
- 15 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 14 Dec1-2 15-15L
- 25 Sept2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarzyna Kawa 1462 · Valeria Savinykh 1507
| Katarzyna Kawa | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeria Savinykh (rating 1462 vs 1507).
- Head-to-head: Katarzyna Kawa 1–2 Valeria Savinykh (3).
- Note: Katarzyna Kawa makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Katarzyna Kawa | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.6 | 9.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Katarzyna Kawa 1 – 2 Valeria Savinykh (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarzyna Kawa 1–2 Valeria Savinykh
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/23 ITF W40 Ricany | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/12/18 ITF Women Pune | 1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/09/18 ITF Women Obidos | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarzyna Kawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maria Garcia Cid WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Eva Bennemann WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Zi Ye Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Sitong Chen W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Eri Shimizu W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Emma Dong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Mia Kupres WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarzyna Kawa vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 57% to Katarzyna Kawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.