Tennis · WTA Beijing · 29/09, 05:00
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Yexin Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Yexin Ma
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
5-5 (W-L)
Yexin Ma
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harriet Dart
1–0
Yexin Ma
(1 last)
- 18 Mar1-1 12-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1565 · Yexin Ma 1521
| Harriet Dart | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1565 vs 1521).
- Head-to-head: Harriet Dart 1–0 Yexin Ma (1).
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Yexin Ma makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.5 | 12.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Harriet Dart 1 – 0 Yexin Ma (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harriet Dart 1–0 Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 W75 Kofu | 1-1 | 12-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Peyton Stearns US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Jordyn Hazelitt US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Yexin Ma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Yufei Ren WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Emerson Jones WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carol Zhao WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Yujia Huang W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma?
Our model gives 57% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.