Tennis · WTA Beijing · 28/09, 11:00
Prediction: Maddison Inglis vs Xinxin Yao
Team pages: Maddison Inglis · Xinxin Yao
Prediction summary
Winner
Maddison Inglis
Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maddison Inglis
5-5 (W-L)
Xinxin Yao
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maddison Inglis 1522 · Xinxin Yao 1489
| Maddison Inglis | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maddison Inglis makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Maddison Inglis | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.4 | 11.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maddison Inglis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Storm Hunter US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanyu Guo WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Priscilla Hon WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 15/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Sara Saito W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maddison Inglis vs Xinxin Yao?
Our model gives 54% to Maddison Inglis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.