Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Luka Mikrut · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
6-4 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luka Mikrut
1–0
Carlo Alberto Caniato
(1 last)
- 29 Aug2-1 13-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1576 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1630
| Luka Mikrut | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1576 vs 1630).
- Head-to-head: Luka Mikrut 1–0 Carlo Alberto Caniato (1).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.4 | 12.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 77% |
| Break % | 28.7% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Luka Mikrut 1 – 0 Carlo Alberto Caniato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luka Mikrut 1–0 Carlo Alberto Caniato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/25 Challenger Como | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 52% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.