Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 25/09, 11:00
Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Lukas Neumayer · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Neumayer
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Neumayer
6-4 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lukas Neumayer
1–0
Luka Mikrut
(1 last)
- 04 Jan2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1552 · Luka Mikrut 1560
| Lukas Neumayer | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Luka Mikrut (1).
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Lukas Neumayer 1 – 0 Luka Mikrut (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 Challenger Canberra | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Zizou Bergs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | James McCabe US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 56% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.