Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 25/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Petkovic
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic
2-8 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1500 · Francesco Forti 1552
| Mika Petkovic | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesco Forti (rating 1500 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.6 | 10.1-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 29% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Francesco Forti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Giorgio Ricca Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 57% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.