Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 25/09, 11:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Dali Blanch
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Dali Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Dali Blanch
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Dali Blanch
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1512 · Dali Blanch 1488
| Marvin Moeller | Dali Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dali Blanch dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 51.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Dali Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.5 | 10.7-11 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Dali Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Jan Chlodnicki Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/08 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Dali Blanch?
Our model gives 56% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.