Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1595 · Tom Gentzsch 1564
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 42.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.4 | 12.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 36% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 52% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.