Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 26/09, 14:00
Prediction: Francesco Forti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Francesco Forti · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Forti
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Forti
7-3 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Forti 1560 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1600
| Francesco Forti | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1560 vs 1600).
Statistics
| Francesco Forti | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.5 | 13-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Giorgio Ricca Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Forti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 59% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.