Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 26/09, 12:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marvin Moeller
0–2
Luka Mikrut
(2 last)
- 05 Jun1-2 15-18L
- 08 Jun1-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1528 · Luka Mikrut 1577
| Marvin Moeller | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1528 vs 1577).
- Head-to-head: Marvin Moeller 0–2 Luka Mikrut (2).
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.9 | 11.6-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Marvin Moeller 0 – 2 Luka Mikrut (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marvin Moeller 0–2 Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Challenger Heilbronn | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/06/23 ITF M15 Sarajevo | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 62% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.