Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Giuseppe La Vela
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Giuseppe La Vela
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
6-4 (W-L)
Giuseppe La Vela
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1566 · Giuseppe La Vela 1527
| Jay Clarke | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-12.1 | 11.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Alessio Vigoriti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Giuseppe La Vela?
Our model gives 69% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.