Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Forti vs Alejandro Juan Mano
Team pages: Francesco Forti · Alejandro Juan Mano
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Forti
Alejandro Juan Mano
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Forti
5-5 (W-L)
Alejandro Juan Mano
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Forti 1515 · Alejandro Juan Mano 1569
| Francesco Forti | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Juan Mano (rating 1515 vs 1569).
Statistics
| Francesco Forti | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9 | 11.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Giorgio Ricca Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Alejandro Juan Mano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Simone Agostini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Forti vs Alejandro Juan Mano?
Our model gives 57% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.