Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 23/09, 16:00
Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Matthew William Donald
Team pages: Dali Blanch · Matthew William Donald
Prediction summary
Winner
Dali Blanch
Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew William Donald
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1479 · Matthew William Donald 1499
| Dali Blanch | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dali Blanch dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 51.9% break avg.
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Dali Blanch | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11 | 13-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dali Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Jan Chlodnicki Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/08 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Samuel Zannoni Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 52% to Dali Blanch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.