Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Team pages: Lukas Neumayer · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Neumayer
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Neumayer
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lukas Neumayer
1–0
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
(1 last)
- 24 Mar2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1562 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1514
| Lukas Neumayer | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Neumayer (rating 1562 vs 1514).
- Head-to-head: Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano (1).
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.1 | 10.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Lukas Neumayer 1 – 0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Challenger Split | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Zizou Bergs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | James McCabe US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano?
Our model gives 65% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.