Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Kimmer Coppejans
Team pages: Luka Mikrut · Kimmer Coppejans
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Kimmer Coppejans
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
5-5 (W-L)
Kimmer Coppejans
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luka Mikrut
1–0
Kimmer Coppejans
(1 last)
- 23 Jun2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1556 · Kimmer Coppejans 1475
| Luka Mikrut | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1556 vs 1475).
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Luka Mikrut 1–0 Kimmer Coppejans (1).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.9 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Luka Mikrut 1 – 0 Kimmer Coppejans (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luka Mikrut 1–0 Kimmer Coppejans
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/25 Challenger Milan | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kimmer Coppejans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Kimmer Coppejans?
Our model gives 63% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.