Tennis · M25 Setubal · 22/09, 12:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Alberto Barroso Campos
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Alberto Barroso Campos
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Alberto Barroso Campos
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Alberto Barroso Campos
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1523 · Alberto Barroso Campos 1472
| Alec Deckers | Alberto Barroso Campos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1523 vs 1472).
- Alec Deckers is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alberto Barroso Campos makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Alberto Barroso Campos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.3 | 11-12.5 |
| Aces | 9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ali Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Alberto Barroso Campos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Bravo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Alberto Barroso Campos?
Our model gives 61% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.