Tennis · M25 Setubal · 24/09, 12:30
Prediction: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Inaki Montes-De La Torre · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
5-5 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1540 · Fausto Tabacco 1599
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1540 vs 1599).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.7 | 13.2-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Setubal |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Adria Soriano Barrera M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Alen Mujakic M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 60% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.