Tennis · M25 Setubal · 24/09, 11:00
Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Robin Bertrand · Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Bertrand
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand
8-2 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1573 · Joao Domingues 1479
| Robin Bertrand | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robin Bertrand (rating 1573 vs 1479).
- Robin Bertrand is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Robin Bertrand | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.9 | 11.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Bertrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Mathieu Scaglia Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/09 | John Echeverria M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiago Cacao M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 62% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.