Tennis · M25 Setubal · 25/09, 11:30
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Diogo Morais
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Diogo Morais
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Diogo Morais
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
8-2 (W-L)
Diogo Morais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1538 · Diogo Morais 1544
| Alec Deckers | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Note: Alec Deckers makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.1 | 10.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Jake Fellows M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Lucas Poullain M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yazid Lahjomri M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Romesh Kahatapitiya M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Diogo Morais?
Our model gives 61% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.