Tennis · M25 Setubal · 24/09, 11:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Jake Fellows
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Jake Fellows
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Jake Fellows
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Jake Fellows
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1524 · Jake Fellows 1579
| Alec Deckers | Jake Fellows | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1524 vs 1579).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Jake Fellows | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.6 | 11.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jake Fellows
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Giulio Perego M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Aryan Lakshmanan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Gawad El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Jake Fellows?
Our model gives 59% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.