Tennis · M25 Setubal · 26/09, 13:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Philip Henning
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Philip Henning
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1536 · Philip Henning 1614
| Alec Deckers | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Henning (rating 1536 vs 1614).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 44.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-11.3 | 12.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Jake Fellows M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Diogo Coelho M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 67% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.