Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Berto
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Lorenzo Berto
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Lorenzo Berto
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Lorenzo Berto
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1604 · Lorenzo Berto 1541
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1604 vs 1541).
- Note: Lorenzo Berto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.8 | 10.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 36% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Cecconi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Lorenzo Berto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Leonardo Taddia M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Daniel Michalski M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Wygona M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Berto?
Our model gives 75% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.