Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alejandro Juan Mano vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Alejandro Juan Mano · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Juan Mano
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Juan Mano
7-3 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Juan Mano 1569 · Francesco Passaro 1514
| Alejandro Juan Mano | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Juan Mano (rating 1569 vs 1514).
Statistics
| Alejandro Juan Mano | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.3 | 11.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Juan Mano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Simone Agostini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Francesco Passaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lorenzo Sonego Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Jesper De Jong US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 28/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Felix Gill US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Juan Mano vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 64% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.