Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
8-2 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Nijboer
1–0
Francesco Forti
(1 last)
- 13 Mar2-0 10-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1556 · Francesco Forti 1516
| Ryan Nijboer | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1556 vs 1516).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryan Nijboer 1–0 Francesco Forti (1).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-8 | 9.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Ryan Nijboer 1 – 0 Francesco Forti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Nijboer 1–0 Francesco Forti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/25 M15 Antalya | 2-0 | 10-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Iannis Miletich Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Francesco Forti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Giorgio Ricca Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.