Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 21/09, 12:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Alejandro Juan Mano
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Alejandro Juan Mano
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
8-2 (W-L)
Alejandro Juan Mano
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1662 · Alejandro Juan Mano 1535
| Ryan Nijboer | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1662 vs 1535).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-7.1 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 56% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Iannis Miletich Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Alejandro Juan Mano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Simone Agostini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano?
Our model gives 67% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.