Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Enrico Dalla Valle · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Enrico Dalla Valle
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Enrico Dalla Valle
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enrico Dalla Valle 1517 · Tom Gentzsch 1583
| Enrico Dalla Valle | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1517 vs 1583).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 44.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Enrico Dalla Valle | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.6 | 12.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enrico Dalla Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Mattia Logrippo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enrico Dalla Valle vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 57% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.