Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Florian Broska
Team pages: Federico Arnaboldi · Florian Broska
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Florian Broska
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
5-5 (W-L)
Florian Broska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1471 · Florian Broska 1525
| Federico Arnaboldi | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florian Broska (rating 1471 vs 1525).
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.4 | 13.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 24.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Florian Broska?
Our model gives 57% to Florian Broska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.