Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano Travaglia vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Stefano Travaglia · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Travaglia
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Travaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Travaglia 1448 · Marvin Moeller 1508
| Stefano Travaglia | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1448 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Stefano Travaglia | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.8 | 11.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 31% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Travaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Travaglia vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 52% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.