Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/09, 11:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Garrett Johns
Team pages: Lorenzo Rottoli · Garrett Johns
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Rottoli
Garrett Johns
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Rottoli
5-5 (W-L)
Garrett Johns
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Rottoli 1499 · Garrett Johns 1503
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.4 | 11.7-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 22/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Rottoli vs Garrett Johns?
Our model gives 56% to Garrett Johns, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.