Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Garrett Johns
Team pages: Daniele Rapagnetta · Garrett Johns
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Garrett Johns
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
6-4 (W-L)
Garrett Johns
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1578 · Garrett Johns 1540
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 10.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pietro Marino M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Maximilian Figl M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexander Petrov M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Manuel Mazza M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxime Janvier M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Tristan McCormick M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Garrett Johns?
Our model gives 52% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.