Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Angelini vs Matteo Sciahbasi
Team pages: Lorenzo Angelini · Matteo Sciahbasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Angelini
Matteo Sciahbasi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Angelini
6-4 (W-L)
Matteo Sciahbasi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Angelini 1471 · Matteo Sciahbasi 1545
| Lorenzo Angelini | Matteo Sciahbasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Sciahbasi (rating 1471 vs 1545).
- Matteo Sciahbasi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Angelini | Matteo Sciahbasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.4 | 12.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Steffan Van Weldam M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Stan Put M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 23/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Matteo Sciahbasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Nikodije Trivunac M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Cosimo Banti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Tudor Batin M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Arad |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Jake Fellows M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Angelini vs Matteo Sciahbasi?
Our model gives 50% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.