Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 09:30
Prediction: Eric Vanshelboim vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Eric Vanshelboim · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Eric Vanshelboim
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eric Vanshelboim
7-3 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eric Vanshelboim
1–1
Gianmarco Ferrari
(2 last)
- 01 May2-0 11-4W
- 30 May0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eric Vanshelboim 1569 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1511
| Eric Vanshelboim | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1569 vs 1511).
Statistics
| Eric Vanshelboim | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.8 | 9.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Eric Vanshelboim 1 – 1 Gianmarco Ferrari (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eric Vanshelboim 1–1 Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 30/05/24 ITF M25 La Nucia | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eric Vanshelboim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Valerio Bracci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Giannicola Misasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Cesare Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eric Vanshelboim vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 54% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.