Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 11:00
Prediction: Samuele Seghetti vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Samuele Seghetti · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Seghetti
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Seghetti
5-5 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samuele Seghetti
1–0
Gianmarco Ferrari
(1 last)
- 18 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Seghetti 1512 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1520
| Samuele Seghetti | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Samuele Seghetti 1–0 Gianmarco Ferrari (1).
Statistics
| Samuele Seghetti | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.9 | 9.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Samuele Seghetti 1 – 0 Gianmarco Ferrari (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuele Seghetti 1–0 Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 M25 Lesa | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Seghetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alessandro Bellifemine M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Flavio Bocci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Blu Baker M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Giannicola Misasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Cesare Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Seghetti vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 64% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.