Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Andrea De Marchi vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Andrea De Marchi · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea De Marchi
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea De Marchi 1544 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1506
| Andrea De Marchi | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea De Marchi | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.3 | 10.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 69% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Marcello Serafini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea De Marchi vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 61% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.