Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/09, 11:00
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Marcello Serafini
Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Marcello Serafini
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Marcello Serafini
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
5-5 (W-L)
Marcello Serafini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1521 · Marcello Serafini 1539
| Tristan McCormick | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13 | 13.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 47% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Xavi Palomar M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 15/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Marcello Serafini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Peter Buldorini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Wels |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Marcello Serafini?
Our model gives 53% to Tristan McCormick, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.