Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/09, 09:30

Prediction: Sebastiano Cocola vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

Team pages: Sebastiano Cocola · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Sebastiano Cocola Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastiano Cocola 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWL
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sebastiano Cocola 1478 · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 1466
Sebastiano CocolaDaniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Our model52%48%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sebastiano CocolaDaniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.8-1.6
Games (G-P)10.7-10.18.8-12
Aces11.7
Double faults1.13.6
1st serve %61.3%61.8%
Break %42.7%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sebastiano Cocola

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Lorenzo Comino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
21/07 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
17/07 Guglielmo Verdese
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Nikola Jovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-10 W
15/07 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Semen Pankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
07/07 Romain Azais
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
22/06 Leonardo Malgaroli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
1-2 12-10 L
10/06 Gabriele Piraino
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Pozzuoli
1-2 10-15 L
25/08 Manuel Plunger
M15 Vienna
0-2 7-13 L
12/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Warsaw
1-2 11-16 L
11/08 Piotr Siekanowicz
M15 Warsaw
2-1 13-7 W
27/07 Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Mattia Cona
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
01/07 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Karel Froemel
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
22/06 Hugo Car
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/04 Florent Bax
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sebastiano Cocola vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei?

Our model gives 63% to Sebastiano Cocola, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.