Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Giacomo Crisostomo
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Giacomo Crisostomo
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Giacomo Crisostomo
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Giacomo Crisostomo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1558 · Giacomo Crisostomo 1456
| Daniel Michalski | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1558 vs 1456).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-5.7 | 8.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 59% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Giacomo Crisostomo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Louis Allen M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Daniel Lechner M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Giacomo Crisostomo?
Our model gives 79% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.