Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/09, 09:30

Prediction: Alessandro Battiston vs Silvio Mencaglia

Team pages: Alessandro Battiston · Silvio Mencaglia

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Alessandro Battiston Silvio Mencaglia
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Battiston 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLWL
Silvio Mencaglia 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alessandro Battiston 1426 · Silvio Mencaglia 1470
Alessandro BattistonSilvio Mencaglia
Our model44%56%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silvio Mencaglia (rating 1426 vs 1470).

Statistics

Alessandro BattistonSilvio Mencaglia
Win %20%40%
Win % · Clay 20% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.51.2-1.4
Games (G-P)7.8-10.611.2-11.5
Aces1.31.5
Double faults3.53.1
1st serve %61.3%63.7%
Break %42.4%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alessandro Battiston

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/09 Mak Mikovic
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Radu David Turcanu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/08 Niklas Guttau
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Andreja Petrovic
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W
26/07 Gabriele Maria Piano
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
24/06 Lucio Ratti
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Marko Retelj
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/05 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/05 Andrea Zanini
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
0-1 6-8 L

Silvio Mencaglia

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Antonio Caruso
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
02/06 Toby Martin
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
01/06 Francesco Mineo Mineo
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
11/05 Noah Perfetti
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
1-2 10-12 L
10/05 Guelfo Baldovinetti
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
05/05 Sebastiano Cocola
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
04/05 Lorenzo Berto
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/04 Stefan Horia Haita
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
07/04 Lorenzo Angelini
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
06/04 Giannicola Misasi
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alessandro Battiston vs Silvio Mencaglia?

Our model gives 51% to Silvio Mencaglia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.