Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/09, 11:00

Prediction: Samuele Seghetti vs Flavio Bocci

Team pages: Samuele Seghetti

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Samuele Seghetti Flavio Bocci
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Seghetti 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWWLLWL
Flavio Bocci 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samuele Seghetti 1485 · Flavio Bocci 1441
Samuele SeghettiFlavio Bocci
Our model56%44%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuele Seghetti (rating 1485 vs 1441).

Statistics

Samuele SeghettiFlavio Bocci
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 0% (3) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.30.8-1.4
Games (G-P)12-11.68.6-10.6
Aces1.81.4
Double faults2.72.6
1st serve %68.6%60.8%
Break %45.5%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samuele Seghetti

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Blu Baker
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
27/08 Kenny de Schepper
M15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 15-18 L
26/08 Dorian Tremblay
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 16-14 W
23/08 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa
1-2 12-15 L
22/08 Andrea De Marchi
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-3 W
22/08 Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Lesa
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-2 W
08/07 Petr Michnev
M15 Lodz
0-2 9-13 L
28/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
15/06 Luca Parenti
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Flavio Bocci

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/06 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/05 Paul Theate
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
11/05 Giacomo Crisostomo
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/05 Pietro Mugelli
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/04 Pierluigi Basile
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/02 Luca Stefan Prunescu Nita
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
20/02 Lorenzo Bocchi
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/02 Razvan Baiant
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
18/02 Cesar Stefan Bentzel
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/02 David Ioan Morega
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samuele Seghetti vs Flavio Bocci?

Our model gives 72% to Samuele Seghetti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.