Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
28.5Bet365 line 34.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
9-1 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1572 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1574
| Alexander Zverev | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 55.4% break avg.
- Note: Alexander Zverev makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.2-1.2 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 19.2-16.8 | 15.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 13.5 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.5 · Bet365 line 34.5 · -6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-26 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Sonego US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 19/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 10/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 69% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.